Bond Markets Hit Scary New Highs — and It's Making People Nervous
Interest rates on U.S. and European government bonds have surged to levels not seen in decades, rattling investors around the world.
Government bonds in the United States and Europe are in serious trouble this week. The interest rate on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note jumped to 5.34 percent on Thursday — the highest level since 2002. That means the U.S. government has to pay more to borrow money, and it is making investors and everyday people very worried about the economy.
When bond yields go up, it usually means investors are worried and want higher payment for lending money to the government. Britain's 30-year bond rate also hit its highest point since 1998, showing the problem is not just in the United States. On top of that, oil prices rose to around $100 a barrel, adding to concerns about rising costs.
There was some good news mixed in with the bad. A key inflation report showed that prices rose a little less than experts had predicted in August. This caused some bond yields to fall and made traders think the Federal Reserve might not need to raise interest rates again right away. The Fed raises rates to slow down rising prices, but higher rates also make borrowing money more expensive for families and businesses.
However, some economists think the inflation report may not tell the full story. Bill Adams, a top economist at Fifth Third Commercial Bank, said the Fed will probably see the report as 'a glass half empty.' He explained that lower inflation numbers might just be due to changes in how inflation is measured, not because prices are truly getting better. He thinks the Fed may still raise rates this month and again in December.
President Trump has been very vocal about wanting lower interest rates. This week, he turned his attention to Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell, calling for him to resign. Trump made these comments after a government watchdog report was released about a nearly $2.5 billion renovation project at the Fed's headquarters. The report found no evidence that Powell or his colleagues did anything illegal.
Trump did not seem satisfied with that finding. He posted on social media saying Powell should be 'forced to resign,' and if he doesn't, he should be sued. Trump also said he asked the attorney general to look further into the matter. Legal experts say it would be very hard for the president to actually remove a Fed official, because the law protects the Fed's independence from political pressure.
In other news, memory chip maker Micron Technology reported sales and profits that were much better than Wall Street expected. The company said long-term customer orders have grown to $32 billion, up from $22 billion just a few months ago. This suggests that businesses are still spending big on artificial intelligence technology. AI systems need huge amounts of a type of computer memory called DRAM, which Micron makes.
Micron's strong results boosted markets around the world. Futures for the Nasdaq index were rising Thursday morning, and South Korea's Samsung saw its stock rise 2.5 percent. The growing demand for AI is pushing memory chip prices higher, which can eventually mean higher prices on laptops, phones, and other gadgets.
Google is also working to shape how people think about AI through Hollywood. The company helped produce a short film called 'Sweetwater,' which shows AI as helpful and comforting rather than scary. Google plans to release short TV shows through its Google TV app starting in December, using them to test new AI tools. The company also partnered with the independent film studio A24 to develop AI tools for filmmakers.
In other headlines, Senate Democrats blocked a Republican bill that would have limited stock trading by members of Congress. The board of Madison Square Garden Sports voted to split the New York Knicks and Rangers into separate, independently traded companies. And Paramount completed its buyout of Warner Bros. Discovery, naming two co-CEOs to lead the new entertainment giant.
"The Fed will likely see the August P.C.E. report as a glass half empty."
Comprehension quiz preview
1. How high did the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note rise on Thursday?
2. What did the government watchdog report find about Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell?
3. How much did Micron Technology's long-term customer orders grow to?