How Will Taylor Swift's Wedding Compare to a Royal Wedding?

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce have not officially announced a wedding yet, but millions of dollars are already being bet on when and where it will happen. Prediction markets — websites where people buy and sell bets on future events — have seen more than $4 million wagered on the couple's big day. Fans, media outlets, and even city officials are paying close attention to every clue about the wedding.

One of the biggest questions is where the wedding will take place. A website called Kalshi says more than $2.26 million has been traded just on that question alone. Right now, New York has 80 percent odds of being the location, while Rhode Island has 21 percent odds.

Reports say a permit has been filed to close streets around Madison Square Garden in New York City from July 2 through July 4, for a large private event on July 3. Neither Swift nor Kelce is named on the permit. Some fans think this could be a trick from Swift, who is known for keeping her personal life very private. Even some NYPD officers stationed outside Madison Square Garden told CNN they don't think the wedding will happen there.

Betting sites also give 95.5 percent odds that the wedding will happen this year, with most bets pointing to July or August. If the wedding does take place over the July 4 weekend, it would happen at the same time as America's 250th birthday celebrations, the Macy's fireworks show, and the 2026 FIFA World Cup — all happening in New York City. The New York City Police Commissioner said this combination would place 'historic demands' on law enforcement.

So who might be in the wedding party? Taylor's childhood best friend, Abigail Anderson Berard, is the top pick for Maid of Honor, with 85 percent odds of being a bridesmaid. Selena Gomez comes in second at 76 percent, and celebrity stylist Ashley Avignone is third at 68 percent. Gigi Hadid, the Haim sisters, and Kylie Kelce are also expected to be bridesmaids.

On Travis Kelce's side, his brother Jason Kelce leads with 89 percent odds of being best man. Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is close behind at 72 percent, and Taylor's brother Austin Swift rounds out the top three at 71 percent. Kelce's childhood friend Aric Jones is also a top pick at 64 percent.

Several celebrities have already confirmed they plan to attend. San Francisco 49ers star George Kittle said he was invited and even joked that he plans to ignore the couple's 'no gifts' rule. Jason Kelce and Chiefs head coach Andy Reid have also said they expect to be there, as have singer Suki Waterhouse and comedian Druski.

How much will all of this cost? Celebrity wedding planners think a Swift-Kelce wedding at Madison Square Garden could cost between $10 million and $20 million. Renting the arena alone could cost around $1 million per day, meaning the venue itself could run as high as $3 million just for setup, the event, and cleanup.

Many people are comparing the Swift-Kelce wedding to a royal wedding. Page Six style editor Elana Fishman called it 'truly our royal wedding,' saying the only comparison she could make was to the weddings of the British royal family. CNN has called Swift and Kelce 'American royalty,' saying they represent two of the country's biggest cultural forces — pop music and the NFL.

There are big differences, though. Royal weddings are official government events tied to the monarchy, while a Swift-Kelce wedding would be a private celebration with no state role. Still, experts say the cultural impact could be enormous, from fashion trends inspired by Swift's wedding dress to worldwide social media attention that could rival a global television event.